北川 文彦

The CHA2DS2 -VASc score is a vital clinical tool for evaluating thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study investigated the efficacy of the CHA2DS2 -VASc score in a cohort of 737 heterogeneous patients (mean age: 63 years) receiving care in cardiac intensive care units (CICUs), with a creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 upon admission and discharge. Incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) was defined as the emergence of a new-onset eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m2, accompanied by a decline of >5 mL/min/1.73 m2 compared to that at discharge. The primary endpoint was the incidence of CKD, and the secondary endpoints included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and progression to end-stage kidney disease. In this cohort, 210 (28 %) patients developed CKD. Multivariate analyses revealed that CHA2DS2 -VASc score was a significant independent predictor of incident CKD, regardless of the presence of AF. Integration of CHA2DS2 -VASc scores with eGFR enhanced the predictive accuracy of incident CKD, as evidenced by the improved C-index, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement values (all p < 0.05). Over the 12-month follow-up period, a composite endpoint was observed in 61 patients (8.3 %), with elevated CHA2DS2 -VASc scores being independently associated with this endpoint. In conclusion, CHA2DS2-VASc scores have emerged as robust predictors of both CKD incidence and adverse outcomes. Their inclusion substantially refined the 12-month risk stratification of patients with preserved renal function hospitalized in the CICUs.

AIM: We investigated the relationship between small dense low-density cholesterol (sdLDL-C) and risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients treated with high- or low-dose statin therapy. METHODS: This was a prospective case-cohort study within the Randomized Evaluation of Aggressive or Moderate Lipid-Lowering Therapy with Pitavastatin in Coronary Artery Disease (REAL-CAD) study, a randomized trial of high- or low-dose (4 or 1 mg/d pitavastatin, respectively) statin therapy, in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). Serum sdLDL-C was determined using an automated homogenous assay at baseline (randomization after a rule-in period, ＞1 month with 1 mg/d pitavastatin) and 6 months after randomization, in 497 MACE cases, and 1543 participants randomly selected from the REAL-CAD study population. RESULTS: High-dose pitavastatin reduced sdLDL-C by 20% than low-dose pitavastatin (p for interaction ＜0.001). Among patients receiving low-dose pitavastatin, baseline sdLDL-C demonstrated higher MACE risk independent of LDL-C (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], 4th versus 1st quartile, 1.67 [1.04-2.68]; p for trend=0.034). High-dose (versus low-dose) pitavastatin reduced MACE risk by 46% in patients in the highest baseline sdLDL-C quartile (＞34.3 mg/dL; 0.54 [0.36-0.81]; p=0.003), but increased relative risk by 40% in patients with 1st quartile (≤ 19.5 mg/dL; 1.40 [0.94-2.09]; p=0.099) and did not alter risk in those in 2nd and 3rd quartiles (p for interaction=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: These findings associate sdLDL-C and cardiovascular risk, independent of LDL-C, in statin-treated CAD patients. Notably, high-dose statin therapy reduces this risk in those with the highest baseline sdLDL-C.

The prognostic role of D-dimer in different types of heart failure (HF) is poorly understood. We investigated the prognostic value of D-dimer on admission, both independently and in combination with the Get With The Guidelines—Heart Failure (GWTG-HF) risk score and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), in patients with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and acute decompensated HF (HFpEF) or reduced LVEF (HFrEF). Baseline D-dimer levels were measured on admission in 1670 patients (mean age: 75 years) who were hospitalized for worsening HF. Of those patients, 586 (35%) were categorized as HFpEF (LVEF ≥ 50%) and 1084 as HFrEF (LVEF &lt; 50%). During the 12-month follow-up period after admission, 360 patients died. Elevated levels (at least the highest tertile value) of D-dimer, GWTG-HF risk score, and NT-proBNP were all independently associated with mortality in all HFpEF and HFrEF patients (all p &lt; 0.05). Adding D-dimer to a baseline model with a GWTG-HF risk score and NT-proBNP improved the net reclassification and integrated discrimination improvement for mortality greater than the baseline model alone in all populations (all p &lt; 0.001). The number of elevations in D-dimer, GWTG-HF risk score, and NT-proBNP were independently associated with a higher risk of mortality in all study populations (HFpEF and HFrEF patients; all p &lt; 0.001). The combination of D-dimer, which is independently predictive of mortality, with the GWTG-HF risk score and NT-proBNP could improve early prediction of 12-month mortality in patients with acute decompensated HF, regardless of the HF phenotype.

We prospectively investigated the prognostic value of urinary liver-type fatty-acid-binding protein (L-FABP) levels on hospital admission, both independently and in combination with serum creatinine-defined acute kidney injury (AKI), to predict long-term adverse outcomes in 1119 heterogeneous patients (mean age; 68 years) treated at medical (non-surgical) cardiac intensive care units (CICUs). Patients with stage 5 chronic kidney disease were excluded from the study. Of these patients, 47% had acute coronary syndrome and 38% had acute decompensated heart failure. The creatinine-defined AKI was diagnosed according to the “Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes” criteria. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death or progression to end-stage kidney disease, indicating the initiation of maintenance dialysis therapy or kidney transplantation. Creatinine-defined AKI occurred in 207 patients, with 44 patients having stage 2 or 3 disease. During a mean follow-up period of 41 months after enrollment, the primary endpoint occurred in 242 patients. Multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed L-FABP levels as independent predictors of the primary endpoint (p &lt; 0.001). Adding L-FABP to a baseline model with established risk factors further enhanced reclassification and discrimination beyond that of the baseline model alone, for primary-endpoint prediction (both; p &lt; 0.01). On Kaplan–Meier analyses, increased L-FABP (≥4th quintile value of 9.0 ng/mL) on admission or presence of creatinine-defined AKI, correlated with an increased risk of the primary endpoint (p &lt; 0.001). Thus, urinary L-FABP levels on admission are potent and independent predictors of long-term adverse outcomes, and they might improve the long-term risk stratification of patients admitted at medical CICUs, when used in combination with creatinine-defined AKI.

<p>Background:A modestly elevated circulating D-dimer level may be relevant to coronary artery disease (CAD), but its prognostic value, both independently and in combination with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), for long-term death has not been fully evaluated in stable CAD patients.</p><p>Methods and Results:Baseline plasma D-dimer levels and eGFR were measured in 1,341 outpatients (mean age: 65 years) with prior myocardial infarction (MI), coronary revascularization, and/or angiographic evidence of a significant stenosis (>50%) for at least one of the major coronary arteries. Among these patients, 43% had prior MI, 47% had prior coronary revascularization, 41% had multivessel CAD, 14% had paroxysmal or persistent atrial fibrillation, 32% had diabetes, and 32% had chronic kidney disease (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m²). D-dimer levels weakly correlated with eGFR (r=−0.25; P<0.0001). During a mean follow-up period of 73 months, there were 124 deaths, including 61 cardiovascular deaths. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified D-dimer levels (P=0.001) and eGFR (P=0.006) as independent predictors of all-cause death. Adding both D-dimer and eGFR to a baseline model with established risk factors improved the net reclassification (P<0.005) and integrated discrimination improvement (P<0.05) greater than that of any single biomarker or baseline model alone.</p><p>Conclusions:The combinatorial value of assessing D-dimer levels and eGFR may provide useful insight regarding stable CAD patients' long-term risk stratification.</p>

<italic>Background</italic>. Our aim was to assess plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) as a predictor of cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and no history of CV events.<italic>Methods</italic>. This was a prospective observational cohort study of 252 patients with predialysis CKD. CV events were defined as CV death, acute coronary syndrome, and hospitalization for worsening heart failure, stroke, and aortic dissection.<italic>Results</italic>. During a median follow-up period of 63 months, 36 CV events occurred. On Cox stepwise multivariate analysis, plasma NGAL and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) were significant predictors of CV events. Kaplan-Meier incidence rates of CV event-free survival at 5 years were 96.6%, 92.9%, 85.9%, and 61.3%, respectively, among quartiles of plasma NGAL (<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M1"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn fontstyle="italic">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>.</mml:mo><mml:mn fontstyle="italic">0001</mml:mn></mml:math>). The C-index for the receiver-operating characteristic curves for CV events was greater when plasma NGAL was added to an established risk model (0.801, 95% CI 0.717–0.885), compared to the model without plasma NGAL (0.746, 95% CI 0.653–0.840,<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M2"><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn fontstyle="italic">0.0</mml:mn><mml:mn fontstyle="italic">21</mml:mn></mml:math>).<italic>Conclusion</italic>. Elevated plasma NGAL could predict future CV events in CKD patients with no history of CV events and add incremental value to the established risk model.

BACKGROUND: Several epidemiologic studies have reported an inverse association between serum levels of carotenoids and cardiovascular disease risk. However, no studies have reported an association between serum carotenoids and N-terminal pro-brain-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in the general population. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we investigated whether serum carotenoids were associated with serum NT-proBNP in 1056 Japanese subjects (390 men, 666 women) who attended a health examination. Serum levels of carotenoids were separately determined by high-performance liquid chromatography. Serum NT-proBNP level was measured by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. RESULTS: Serum NT-proBNP was elevated (≥55 pg/ml) in 31.8% of men and 48.2% of women. Multivariate logistic regression analyses adjusted for confounding factors showed a significant association between the highest quartile of serum α-carotene and elevated NT-proBNP in men (odds ratio [OR] = 0.40, 95% CI = 0.19-0.82, P for trend = 0.005) and women (OR = 0.62, 95% CI = 0.39-0.99, P for trend = 0.047). In women, moreover, elevated serum NT-proBNP was significantly associated with serum canthaxanthin (OR = 0.57, 95% CI = 0.36-0.90 for highest quartile, P for trend = 0.026) and β-cryptoxanthin (OR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.32-0.85 for highest quartile, P for trend = 0.026), after adjusting for potential confounders. CONCLUSIONS: Higher levels of serum carotenoids were associated with lower risk of elevated serum NT-proBNP levels after adjusting for possible confounders, which suggests that a diet rich in carotenoids could help prevent cardiac overload in the Japanese population.

PURPOSE: We prospectively investigated the prognostic value of pentraxin 3 (PTX3) in patients with unstable angina and non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (UA/NSTEMI). BACKGROUND: PTX3 may be a useful marker for localized vascular inflammation and damage to the cardiovascular system. Recent studies have shown that plasma PTX3 is elevated in patients with UA/NSTEMI; however, its prognostic value in UA/NSTEMI remains unclear. METHODS: PTX3, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and cardiac troponin I were measured on admission in 204 consecutive patients (mean age of 69 years; 144 males) hospitalized for UA/NSTEMI within 24h (mean of 7.5h) after the onset of chest symptoms. A cardiac event, which was defined as cardiac death, rehospitalization for acute coronary syndrome (ACS), or rehospitalization for worsening heart failure, was monitored for 6 months after admission. RESULTS: A total of 26 (13%) cardiac events occurred during the 6-month follow-up period. In a stepwise Cox regression analysis including 18 well-known clinical and biochemical predictors of ACS outcome, both PTX3 (relative risk 3.86 per 10-fold increment, P=0.01) and NT-proBNP (relative risk 2.16 per 10-fold increment, P=0.02), but not hsCRP, were independently associated with the 6-month cardiac event. The cardiac event rate was higher in patients with increased PTX3 (> or = 3.1ng/mL of median value) than those without (20% vs. 5.8%, P=0.003). A Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with increased PTX3 had a higher risk for cardiac events than those without (P=0.002). CONCLUSION: PTX3 and NT-proBNP may be potent and independent predictors for 6-month cardiac events in patients hospitalized for UA/NSTEMI within 24h after the onset. Measurement of plasma PTX3 may substantially improve the early risk stratification of patients with UA/NSTEMI.

The lipid-lowering and anti-atherosclerotic effects of atorvastatin (10 mg/day) were investigated by measuring changes in the levels of oxidized low-density lipoprotein (LDL), serum lipids (total cholesterol [TC], LDL-cholesterol [LDL-C] and triglycerides [TG]), and in the protein adiponectin. This was undertaken in 22 patients with ischaemic heart disease and serum LDL-C levels &gt; 100 mg/dl. After 3 months of therapy, atorvastatin significantly decreased serum lipids, oxidized LDL was reduced from 457.0 ± 148.6 to 286.9 ± 88.5 nmol/l, and adiponectin increased from 9.7 ± 7.4 to 13.9 ± 9.98 μg/ml. No significant correlation was observed between adiponectin and LDL-C, TG and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Atorvastatin therapy was not associated with side-effects, such as myalgia and gastrointestinal disorders, and did not give abnormal laboratory test results. It is concluded that atorvastatin decreases serum lipid and oxidized LDL levels, and increases adiponectin levels in patients with ischaemic heart disease.

<title>Abstract</title> Background: Heart-type fatty acid–binding protein (H-FABP) is proposed as an early biomarker for acute myocardial infarction (AMI), but its prognostic value is unclear in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We evaluated the prognostic value of the H-FABP concentration relative to cardiac troponin T (cTnT) in the early hours of ACS. Methods: Serum concentrations of H-FABP and cTnT were measured on admission in 328 consecutive patients hospitalized for ACS within 6 h after the onset of chest pain [AMI, 241 (73.5%) patients; ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, 154 (47.0%) patients; and emergent coronary angiography within 24 h after admission, 287 (87.5%) patients]. Cardiac events, which were defined as cardiac death or subsequent nonfatal AMI, were monitored for 6 months after admission. Results: During the 6-month follow-up period, there were 25 cardiac events, including 15 cardiac deaths and 10 subsequent nonfatal AMIs. Stepwise multivariate analyses including clinical, electrocardiographic, and biochemical variables revealed that increased H-FABP (above the median of 9.8 μg/L), but not increased cTnT (above the median of 0.02 μg/L), was independently associated with cardiac events in all patients [relative risk (RR) = 8.96; P = 0.0004], the subgroup of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (RR = 11.3; P = 0.02), and the subgroup of patients with unstable angina and non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (RR = 8.31; P = 0.007). The area under the ROC curve was higher for H-FABP than for cTnT (0.711 vs 0.578; P = 0.08), suggesting that H-FABP concentrations have a greater predictive capacity for cardiac events than cTnT. Conclusion: Serum H-FABP is a potential independent predictor of cardiac events within 6 months of patient admission and may provide prognostic information superior to cTnT in the early hours of ACS.

<title>Abstract</title>Background: Recent studies have suggested that cardiac troponin T (cTnT) and troponin I may detect ongoing myocardial damage involved in the progression of chronic heart failure (CHF). This study was prospectively designed to examine whether the combination of cTnT, a marker for ongoing myocardial damage, and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), a marker for left ventricular overload, would effectively stratify patients with CHF after initiation of treatment. Methods: We measured serum cTnT, plasma BNP, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) on admission for worsening CHF [New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class III to IV] and 2 months after initiation of treatment to stabilize CHF (n = 100; mean age, 68 years). Results: Mean (SD) concentrations of cTnT [0.023 (0.066) vs 0.063 (0.20) μg/L] and BNP [249 (276) vs 753 (598) ng/L], percentage increased cTnT (&amp;gt;0.01 μg/L; 35% vs 60%), NYHA functional class [2.5 (0.6) vs 3.5 (5)], and LVEF [43 (13)% vs 36 (12)%] were significantly (P &amp;lt;0.01) improved 2 months after treatment compared with admission. During a mean follow-up of 391 days, there were 44 cardiac events, including 12 cardiac deaths and 32 readmissions for worsening CHF. On a stepwise Cox regression analysis, increased cTnT and BNP were independent predictors of cardiac events (P &amp;lt;0.001). cTnT &amp;gt;0.01 μg/L and/or BNP &amp;gt;160 ng/L 2 months after initiation of treatment were associated with increased cardiac mortality and morbidity rates. Conclusion: The combination of cTnT and BNP measurements after initiation of treatment may be highly effective for risk stratification in patients with CHF.